The Russian Avangard missile can be more lethal than people predicted. The Avangard is a hypersonic warhead that flies far lower than traditional ballistic missiles. The thing that makes the Avangard so deadly is the plasma layer that forms around the warhead. When Avangard travels in the atmosphere, that system can be visible to IR systems. But those systems can be ineffective against that missile. There is possiblity that Avangard is invisible to radar. The problem with hypersonic missiles is that their flight profile differs from that of ballistic missiles. The regular early warning radars can be ineffective against hypersonic missiles that go straight through.
The hypersonic warhead follows a wobbling trajectory. And. It can also have evasive mode, which allows it to change its course without warning. The problem with the kinetic energy interceptor ABM is that those weapons must strike precisely to incoming warheads. And that means those weapons can cause terrible damage if they hit early warning radars. A couple of days ago. The Russian military used Oreshenik missiles against the Ukrainian city of Lviv, (and/ or Dnipro?). Those missiles didn’t carry explosives.
So their effect is based on the kinetic energy. And maybe. That strike. It was some kind of test; the Russians tested the accuracy of those missiles. And if those warheads were quite small. There is possiblity. Those missiles or their warheads are planned to be used against the radar stations. The quite small kinetic warheads can cause serious damage to the early-warning radars. So. There is a possibility that Russians plan to develop. The anti-radiation missile version of the hypersonic Avangard or Kalibr missile. That missile can act as a pathfinder for other missiles.
This means that the early warning radars at Greenland can be ineffective against the Avangard and submarine-launched Kalibr (SS-N-27 Sizzer and SS-N-30) missiles. The hypersonic technology makes those missiles effective against ground and sea targets. But the hypersonic missile. It can travel thousands of kilometers and also hit airborne targets. If that missile finds them. And things like airborne command posts are targets. The long-range hypersonic missile can be effective against those targets, and hitting the airborne command posts kills the people. Who. Has the right to command fire.
One of the things that we must realize as a threat is the new Russian missiles. The RS-24 Yars (SS-29), RS-26 Rubezh, and Oreshnik are using the same transporter. The Yars missile is developed from the Topol-M missile. The next-generation modifications, RS 26 Rubetzh and Oreshnik, are actually lighter versions of the Yars. And the question is, why does the Oreshnik missile have an empty final stage? Rubezh carries Avangard warheads.
But when we think. About. Oreshnik, that violates the IRBM treaty. The question is this: Is that weapon developed for long-range airborne transportation duties? The Oreshnik can be a deadly weapon if it is deployed in Belarus. But there is a possibility that Russia plans to deploy those missiles to Cuba or somewhere in the Caribbean. The Russian forces used those missiles in Ukraine after the attack against Rutin’s residence.
Those missiles can launch Avangard warheads to the most important military bases in the USA. Russia has believed. Have only a limited number of those missiles. The reason for that can be. In the Ukrainian war. That war eats. Up lots of resources from Russia. This means that components. Those missiles that entered service in the year 2024 are installed in other missiles.
The thing is that the development. Most of the modern Russian missiles and other weapons started in the Soviet era. There is a possibility. The Kalibr missile had a role as a miniature shuttle or hypersonic, long-range atmospheric missile. This explains why the Topol-M (SS-27 Sickle B) missile has three stages.
The third and possibly the second stage can be removed. And. They can be replaced with larger sizes. Air-breathing hypersonic cruise missile. Theoretically. There is a possibility. To replace. One or two of those stages can be replaced by Kalibr missiles. The idea is that the rocket drives the hypersonic missile to the edge of the atmosphere. And when that missile starts to dive, the ramjet engine starts.
Once, there were rumors that Russia was testing the Kalibr-type hypersonic missile. That should be launched from different types of transporters. The conventional rocket. Like the Topol-M missile’s first and (maybe) second stage kick that system. To the short ballistic trajectory. Then that Kalibr missile ignites its engine. The system can be even more deadly than the Kalibr or Avangard.
https://www.defensenews.com/land/2025/10/24/greenland-radars-vulnerable-to-hypersonic-missiles-critics-warn/
https://www.msn.com/en-ca/technology/general/breaking-oreshnik-irbm-missile-used-in-strike-on-ukraine-s-lviv-russia-says/ar-AA1TSa5r?ocid=BingNewsSerp
https://www.news18.com/world/belarus-releases-video-of-deployment-of-russian-nuclear-capable-oreshnik-missiles-on-its-territory-ws-l-9800938.html
https://www.twz.com/land/russias-claims-oreshnik-ballistic-missile-now-on-combat-duty-in-belarus
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avangard_(hypersonic_glide_vehicle)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalibr_(missile_family)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oreshnik_(missile)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RS-24_Yars
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RS-26_Rubezh
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RT-2PM2_Topol-M
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